Prospero at this moment has Ferdinand and Miranda madly in love, he has Trinculo, Stephano, and Caliban, fooled, but in midst of worrying about his daughter Miranda and his own life he has lost sight of Alonso's life. Alonso is Prospero's make it or break it key to his master plan. The spirits which were sent to keep watch over the royal cabinet are tormenting Alonso with guilt. The guilt begins to build up in him. Alonso feels like he has no other choice than to commit suicide by jumping into the ocean. "The winds did sing it to me... my son i'th'ooze is bedded." He belives that it was his fault that Ferdinand is dead when in reality we know none of that is true. If Prospero doesn't keep an eye on him he might lose a vital part to his plan.
Alonso is not safe at all. He is against himself, he may commit suicide, and Antonio and Sebstian are plotting against him. They will go out of their way to complete their conspiracy in order to gain more authority. Prospero can't trust that the spirits will prevent Alonso from killing himself. The spirits aren't mind readers.
This plot has many factors that would cause Propsero's plan to fail. Prospero would not become Duke because Ferdinand wouldn't be prince or king after his father's death. Prospero must be very careful in choosing his next move because of getting the $1,ooo,ooo case he will end up with the $.01 case.
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